I was a big a Hobbs supporter as anyone here. But I do have to say in fairness, that Lonergan cannot be judged on one year or even be termed a disappointment based on what happens in 2011-12. He has a big challenge on his hands. He needs to win over the old players and incorporate the new ones into a new system. Will the players adapt to his system? And how quickly. These are answers none of us can pretend to know, yet they will determine how the season goes even assuming no significant injuries.
The minute Hobbs was let go, all bets were off for this season. And hopefully, GW knew this and factored this in to its decision. If it didn't, shame on those making the decision.
As they say its a whole new ballgame and there is no good way to really predict how the season will go. Had Hobbs returned I would have had a prediction. But you can't hold Lonergan responsible for what would have happened under Hobbs even assuming you could reasonably predict that. New players, new coach, different emphasis and systems, different schedule. It is not an apples to apples comparison, especially in the first year.
So I can't give you a prediction or a level that would represent disappointment or approval in terms of W-L right now because it is all relative to Lonergan not Hobbs. That decision was already made and we will all live the consequences good or bad. I would be looking more to the following: do we set a foundation for future success and do we have a good recruiting year. If those two things are achieved I will be satisfied with the job Lonergan is doing. Again, that has nothing to do with my feelings on the Hobbs' situation.
However, here to me would be the keys (not in any particular order) to a winning season and a chance to challenge for post-season tournaments:
1. Is Kromah healthy and can he return to form?
2. Can Pellom, Edwards and Warren Hold down the post?
3. Can Mikic become a better defender allowing him to stay on the floor more?
4. Will Tony Taylor continue to develop?
5. Will GW be a better halfcourt and defensive rebounding team then a year ago?
6. Can Ware, Guest, Warren, Kopriva, Davis and Bynes give us solid minutes off of the bench?
7. Will Smith provide us with another consistent reliable offensive threat?
8. How quickly can the players adjust to Lonergan's style of play, coaching etc.?
If we answer all or most of these the right way, we have a chance to be pretty good.